As the Korean national soccer team continued its sluggish performance at the 2023 Asian Football Confederation (AFC) Asian Cup, the probability of winning the title dropped to a single digit. The probability ranking of championship, which was the second highest even before the season’s opening, also fell to the fifth place. This is the opposite of German coach Jurgen Klinsmann’s overflowing confidence.라바카지노
According to soccer statistics company Opta’s prediction on Wednesday, Korea’s probability of winning the title was only 9 percent. It is the first time that Korea’s probability of winning the title dropped to a single digit.
South Korea’s chances of winning, which once rose to 14.8% even before the opening of the tournament, have steadily declined since the opening of the tournament. It fell to 12% immediately after the 2-2 draw against Jordan, but fell to 10.3% as the possibility of a round of 16 match between Korea and Japan increased, and to 9% after the round of 16 match was confirmed.
It seems that Korea is gradually losing ground in terms of candidates for the championship. Prior to the opening and the beginning of the season, Korea was considered the second most favored team after Japan, but Korea gradually fell to the fifth place due to its falling behind. Even the sixth place saw its ranking drop before the final group match.
This reflects Korea’s sluggish performance that has been shown throughout the group league. Team Korea had a 3-1 victory over Bahrain in its first Group E match, but later tied with Jordan 2-2 and Malaysia 3-3. The team showed poor performance even against teams with wide gap in objective capability.
Notably, in the final match against Malaysia, which had a gap of more than 100 notches in the FIFA rankings, the team showed off its strong performance by allowing three runs even though it was practically the best of its kind. In the FIFA rankings, Korea was ranked 23rd, while Malaysia was ranked 130th.
Lee Kang-in (Paris Saint-Germain), who scored three goals and one assist in three group games, is struggling, especially defensive instability, which has allowed as many as six runs in three group games.
In addition, even the match against Malaysia, which was an opportunity for the main players to catch their breath ahead of the tight tournament schedule, is being criticized by fans not only for the mercenary skills that actually operated their best, but also for the poor performance.
In fact, despite being inferior in the midfield fight due to the widening gap between ball and number throughout the group stage, coach Klinsmann has not made much change, and even players who are only playing poorly have been unable to change the trend.
“The important thing is to have confidence. We are here to win, and we have a clear goal. We believe in ourselves,” Klinsmann told Korean reporters. However, as Opta`s probability of winning suggests, Klinsmann from the outside is not strong enough.
Opta not only predicted Korea’s probability of winning the title but also Korea’s probability of advancing to the quarterfinals at 51.8 percent. Saudi Arabia is 48.2 percent, which is truly a close match. In terms of probability of advancing to the quarterfinals, it is even lower than that of Iraq (64.2 percent), Uzbekistan (62.9 percent), and the United Arab Emirates (61 percent). The probability of advancing to the semifinals is 28.3 percent, ranking seventh overall, and the probability of advancing to the final at 17.9 percent, ranking fifth, respectively.
It is also in contrast to the situation of Japan, which is consistently considered the top winner despite one shock defeat in the group stage. Japan suffered a shock defeat by Iraq 1-2 in the second Group D match, but advanced to the round of 16 as the second-ranked team in Group D after crushing Vietnam and Indonesia 3-1 and 4-2, respectively.
As the possibility of Korea-Japan match in the round of 16 was growing ahead of Korea’s final group match against Malaysia, Japan’s probability of winning dropped to the third place at one point, but after the round of 16 match was confirmed, it rose to the top of the list again. Japan’s probability of winning is 18.8 percent, which Opta predicted. Japan ranks second overall in terms of probability of advancing to the quarterfinals and the semifinals, but it ranks first overall in terms of probability of advancing to the finals and winning the championship.
Qatar, the host country and defending champion, is second in the probability of winning the tournament after Japan with 15.1%. Japan and Qatar will meet in the semifinals, not the final, and Opta predicts that one of the two teams will have the greatest chance of winning.
Australia ranked third with 13.8 percent, while Iran ranked fourth with 13.6 percent, respectively, if South Korea advances to the quarterfinals. Following this, South Korea’s probability of winning the title was not much different from that of Saudi Arabia ranked sixth (8 percent) and Iraq (7 percent).
The Asian Cup Round of 16 tournament, which will determine the strongest team in Asia, will kick off at 8:30 p.m. on the 28th with the first match between Australia and Indonesia. South Korea will face Saudi Arabia at 1 a.m. on the 31st at Education City Stadium in Alayyan, Qatar.